http://blog.reblace.com Exploring the market Tue, 02 Jun 2009 22:08:34 +0000 http://backend.userland.com/rss092 en мебели пловдивdistributed raman amplifier Just testing the upgraded WordPress installation. Let me know if you hit any snags using the new blog. http://blog.reblace.com/?p=116 Everyone suffers from the habit of trying to create a opportunities where none exists.  Look back over your market experience and ask yourself how many times you've avoided a stellar stock because you couldn't accept its reality, or how many times you've convinced yourself that a volatile, sideways trending stock ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=112 From http://www.financialsense.com/editorials/litle/2007/0815.html: Introducing Quant's Law GODWIN'S LAW -- more a theory than a law -- speaks to the inevitable half-life of debate on the internet. Per Wikipedia, Godwin's ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=111 Well, the short answer is that they're getting hammered in the stock market. And things are likely to get much worse before they get better. Take a look at the 5-year charts for six of the biggest New York investment banks (charts from www.marketwatch.com): JPMorganChase: Lehman Brothers: Merrill Lynch: Morgan Stanley: Goldman Sachs: And the ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=108 I've been getting a bit frustrated with the seemingly unfounded optimism that the talking heads of the market are pushing. It seems the current opinion is that last week was a big overreaction to what was merely some expected news of some slowing sectors of the market and that ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=99 I made this observation the other day and I thought I'd share.   It goes along with the idea that the market performs similarly during a decade long cycle. 2007 Weekly Dow Jones Industrial Average 1997 Weekly Dow Jones Industrial Average It doesn't take long to see the similarities.  Now, lets take a look ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=95 This week we feature John Hussman's article, A Who's Who of Awful Times to Invest. The author, John Hussman, manages the Hussman Strategic Growth Fund and the Hussman Strategic Total Return Fund, between which he is almost fully invested personally. The total return since inception of the Strategic ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=93 I read a very interesting article this week by John Rubino on the topic of value traps. Here are the first few paragraphs of the article that explain the idea of a value trap: This Time It’s Value Traps John Rubino 6/13/2007 Most financial bubbles are pretty easy to spot: An asset class ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=88 As I follow what I perceive to be an expensive U.S. stock market, I find myself drawn to examples of over-valued stocks. Here are 14 stocks I wouldn't even think about owning at their current prices and price to earnings ratios: data from www.marketwatch.com A few comments: [] The stocks listed ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=86 I'm making the prediction that the DJIA is about to correct by about 500 points over the next couple months. Expect it to drop down to around 13,000 and possibly down into the upper 12,000's. There are a number of technical indicators that suggest this scenario. First, the RSI ... http://blog.reblace.com/?p=84